FANTASY BASEBALL DRAFT STRATEGY 101
THE BEAST BROS
BEAST DOME NATION.
Year after Year in Fantasy Baseball. All the Industry Sheep Experts like to write off players after having a bad season. Every single season. You want one example?
Every single season to the point where I am just MAD.
As we get closer to the start of the MLB season it is time to hone in on the MASTER DRAFT STRATEGY.
*FULL DRAFT GUIDE HAS EACH PLAYER I WOULD TARGET AT EACH POSITION + RANKINGS*
If you do not draft Gary Sanchez in Round 1, it better be because you had the #1-#3 pick. Gary Sanchez is in a league of his own at the catcher position. If you miss Gary Sanchez the strategy is to wait and you will find plenty of solid names who can hit 20+ HRs.
The 1st Base position is filled with talent that will do more or less the same. 30+ HRs, 100+ RBIs. You can spend an early pick on someone who is a little more consistent or does not kill you in batting average, or you can just wait until the end and get a superstar. This year, and for the most of the last few years. That will be the strategy again.
CHRIS DAVIS (ADP #207)
CHRIS DAVIS is the guy to Draft. His ADP is past #200. Which means in 10 man leagues, you can snag him in Round 20, I would grab him earlier, more like Round 18. Chris Davis is the streakiest of hitters and when he is HOT, he is unstoppable.
Unfortunately for Davis in 2017, after hitting 8 HRs in the month of May (Which projects out to 48 HRs in a season). Davis had to miss a month with an oblique injury. When he returned he was not the same player. July he showed his form with 2 HRs in a game, and in August he did hit .242 for the month, but the power was still not himself. In September, Davis tanked as well as the Orioles did not even close to a playoff spot as CD19 hit .162.
Do not forget that Chris Davis led the MLB in HRs 2x in the last 5 Years. He can easily get back to form.
Jose Altuve is the guy to draft #1 Overall. 20 HR with 30+ SB upside while being among the leaders in batting average at the 2B spot, too good to be true.
If you miss Altuve, there are other strong options throughout.
Josh Donaldson or Manny Machado in the 2nd Round is the way to attack the 3B position. That is if you draft Gary Sanchez in Round 1, otherwise Gary Sanchez is your guy in Round 2. While there is some talent at 3B, those two guys can win the batting title while smashing HRs and racking up RBIs all season long.
Trickiest position in Fantasy Baseball. Carlos Correa is the #2 Overall Pick after Altuve, the guy is the next A-Rod, pre-steroids. Correa can easily hit 40+ HRs at the SS postion which is really unheard of. The Astros are going to win a lot of games and Correa is going to be a big part of it. In only 109 games last season, Carlos hit 24 HRs with 89 RBIs. Those numbers are not real life.
If you miss Correa, there is some great sleeper talent at SS.
Lots of great talent, lots of great sleepers. Out Field is a position you can navigate as the draft goes and there is really no reason to spend an early early pick on a superstar if there are other superstars at 2B/3B/SS and Sanchez. While it is tempting to get Judge and Stanton, you can get great talent very late at OF and still survive.
The guy I want to point out in this situation.
MARK TRUMBO (ADP #223)
The guy goes from leading MLB in HRs in 2016, to someone you could get after the 20th Round of your Fantasy Baseball Draft. Everything in Baltimore was down last year, Machado got injured, Chris Davis got injured, Mark Trumbo was not Mark Trumbo.
Trumbo hit a HR on opening day, everything seemed like it would be. Then Trum-BEAST went ICE Cold hitting .202 for the month of April with only 2 HRs. Like Chris Davis heating up in May when he hit 8 HRs, Trumbo was hot as well hitting .324 for the month with 5 HRs. Not big power, but amazing batting average. When Davis went down in June, Trumbo did hit 7 HRs in that month span, but quickly went ice cold dropping his average from .258 to .236, and after an average .254 August with little power only 5 HRs. Just like Chris Davis, Trumbo tanked with his batting average hitting .186 in September.
BEASTs always Bounce Back, Mark Trumbo is a Top 20 OF option goes after the 20th Round.
*GOOD BACKUPS WHO MIGHT NOT EVEN BE DRAFTED*
The SP position is a position where you can really load up at. If you are in any league, Points/Roto lineup. It is important to have as many 2 Start, Starting pitchers as you can have. Just think about it.
1 Start. 8 Strikeouts. 1 Win.
2 Starts. 6 Strikeouts. 1 Win
2 Starts. 10 K. 1 Win
It only makes sense to have as many starting pitchers as you can who are going to pitch twice. But what starters to draft you ask?
Besides Chatwood and Richards who I both wrote articles about. The list is a long and extensive one, a list that you can get in the Draft Guide.
Besides Shane Greene who you can get as late as you can get. RP is a position where there will always be new names coming up who get their chances to close. While it is important to get good closers, you can also get as many names that are available late and play the comittee game there. Drafting Kenley Jansen in Round 5 is a joke, Drafting any other closer before Round 10 is a little outrageous considering there is a ton of top tier talent at positions that have an impact on 5 other categories in Roto Leagues.