Do Not SpuRG3 on RGIII
BEAST DOME NATION.
Everyday I write a Fantasy Football article, I still realize we are still months away from opening kickoff. To be exact, we have the rest of this month, next month, the month after that, and then finally on September 7th we will be only 24 Hours away from opening kickoff.
Still it is never too early to talk about Fantasy Football and speculate on what should be one of the most exciting NFL seasons of all-time. This article will talk about on RGIII, Bob Griff, Rob Griff, or any nickname you creative fantasy football owners came up with during his Cinderella rookie season.
V.I.P. PACKAGES are still yet to be determined
(If you are interested in the Early Beast Special e-mail [email protected])
WHY RGIII is a Bust For 2013
Last season RGIII was able to rush for 815 Yards and 7 TDs in 15 Games as a starter. If we break down those points with standard scoring, that is about 124 Points (10 Yards = 1 Point. TD = 6 Points). 124 Points is the same thing as adding 3,000 Passing Yards and 1 TD to your standard QB scoring (25 Passing Yards = 1 Point. Passing TD = 4 Points).
Last season RGIII was able to throw for 3,200 and 20 TDs. Which is amazing considering RGIII really lacked talent at the WR position, and Pierre Garcon was less than 100% in his 10 Games of action after getting injured Week 1.
When you combine RGIII with his passing and rushing, you got yourself a QB who throws for 6,200 Yards and 21 TDs. All of that sounds great, but let us dig deeper into the numbers.
RGIII threw for over 300 Yards three times all season. Once against the Saints in Week 1 (Ranked #32 in Pass Defense) once against the Buccaneers in Week 4 (Ranked #31 in Pass Defense) and the other time against Dallas on Thanksgiving (Ranked #19 in Pass Defense). The second time he faced Dallas RGIII threw for 100 Yards. In 2012 RGIII threw for less than 200 Yards in 5 of his 15 Starts. In 2 of those 5 starts he threw for 100 Yards or Less. In 4 of his 15 Starts he threw for 0 TD Passes. In the 11 Games he did throw a TD pass, 6 of them he happened to only throw 1 TD in that game.
When you consider all the above statistics and analysis. RGIII’s legs are more important than ever. Especially considering that the Redskins did not do anything to improve their weapons in the passing game this off-season.
Now if I were to tell you that RGIII is going to be limited as a running QB in 2013, and defenses know that RGIII cannot move the same way he did in 2012 because of his horrific ACL injury in the Playoffs. Would you still take RGIII that high?
The reason RGIII was able to throw for over 3,000 Yards was because of the threat of him taking off with his legs. When Safeties have to creep up to protect the QB draw, RGIII can throw that deep bomb just as good as any QB. If the Safeties can now rely on a LB playing QB Spy with his limited speed, how is RGIII going to be as lethal as a QB?
The answer is, there is absolutely no way.
I have yet to do my QB Rankings, but I can tell you one thing. RGIII if healthy for all 16 Games, will see his rushing Yards be less than 600. Which in my opinion is very generous. The Redzone Rushing TDs will now all go to Alfred Morris as those hits could be the most lethal of all. The 3,200 Passing Yards could easily stay the same, but the passing TD numbers should go down now that defenses can play a more straight-up approach with him.
Bottom Line: Go ahead and let someone else take RGIII. In a season where Michael Vick may not even get drafted Top 15, Matthew Stafford could be the #10 QB off the board, and Eli Manning/Tony Romo are now considered backup QBs in Fantasy Football. You can wait on the QB position and let someone else take a gimpy RGIII who will be less than a consistent explosive option.
Muntradamus is a Fantasy Sports Expert who specializes in Fantasy Football/Baseball/Basketball. He is currently in his second season as a Pro on FantasyPros coming off of an impressive Rookie Campaign where he landed the #8 Overall In-Season Fantasy Football Rankings Expert. Which also included #1 WR of all Expert Sites. He is also one of two people to qualify for all DRAFTSTREET CHAMPIONSHIPS (MLB/NFL/NBA) in 2012. Most Historically, Muntradamus was the #1 Fantasy Football Expert of IDP & Overall Rankings in One Week, first and only time in Fantasy Sports History.