FANTASY FOOTBALL: I’M JUST TRYING TO BE THE BEST EXPERT I CAN BE (WEEK 1 FANTASYPROS)

FANTASY FOOTBALL:

I’M JUST TRYING TO BE THE BEST EXPERT I CAN BE

(WEEK 1 FANTASYPROS)

 

By Muntradamus

 

BEAST DOME NATION.

This is a new segment I will be doing moving forward where I evaluate how I did on the FantasyPros circut each week.  As many of you know, I was esentially the #1 Expert on FantasyPros in 2012.  In 2013 I became so busy that my business model did not allow me to submit Rankings on Time as I had to juggle 741+ Clients each Week as well as manage over 100’s of Daily Fantasy Football Teams.  I would not submit my Rankings until 10 Minutes before the deadline on FantasyPros as people were paying good money for them.  There were times I had too much to deal with. When a Reggie Bush late scratch would happen on a Sunday Morning, my morning was consumed and I would submit my Rankings late and still left Reggie Ranked as if he was starting.  Between Skype Clients/Fixing Daily Fantasy Teams, you have no idea how much of a Zoo it was.

To start out this 2014 Fantasy Football Season, I thought I was on top of the World after a HUGE Week 1.  Only Website to Rank Marshawn Lynch the #1 RB, when he was the actual #1 RB.  I called the Steve Smith SR. explosion since the Preseason, and FantasyPros gave me my props after the call for Week 1.

SteveSmit10

 

Despite all this FantasyPros came back with a Big “YOU SUCK.” With a 105/135 Ranking on the circut with my Week 1 Rankings.

MuntraD

 

Despite all the Big Tournaments I killed on Daily Sites.  Despite all the great calls this Preseason.  I feel there was no Fantasy Site that rankings better than me last week.  To prove it, here are my biggest differentials between the Expert Sites from Week 1.

 

#1 FANTASYPROS EXPERT AFTER

(WEEK 1)

JAMEY EISENBERG – CBSSPORTS

READ HIS START/SIT FROM WEEK 1

(CLICK IMAGE BELOW)

*JAMEY’S START OF THE WEEK (1)* 

*FRANK GORE*

FrankGore1

MUNTRADAMUS

WEEK 1 QB RANKINGS

QBWeek1

LIKE HIM MORE

So I was on the Matt Ryan Bandwagon.  I liked Jay Cutler.  RGIII/Brady were BUSTS, Carson Palmer was a great Sleeper.  Josh McCown turned out to be fine scoring nearly 20 Points, Fitzpatrick was ok, Joe Flacco was great.  Shaun Hill was injured, Matt Cassel makes up the pick.

LIKE HIM LESS

Bad call on Andrew Luck who got all of his numbers in garbage time.  Colts down 24-0 at halftime. Nick Foles was garbage until the 4th quarter. Tony Romo was a good pick, Philip Rivers was a good pick, Big Ben was a bad pick.

QB OVERALL

Not too bad, not too great either, ended up with #42 Overall at QB. The fact I was on the Matt Ryan Train should help me, as well as Cutler and Palmer.  What killed me the most was Andrew Luck and Nick Foles with their late comebacks, it’s okay I know I was right on the call all along, garbage time saved their ass.

THESE RANKINGS BELOW WON #22

Really Matt Ryan #8 and Romo/Rivers Top 14? I can’t complain too much Luck hit me hard.

FantasyPros

 

MUNTRADAMUS

WEEK 1 RB RANKINGS

 

 

RBWeek1

 

 

LIKE HIM MORE

BEAST pick with Marshawn Lynch. Only site to Rank him #1. AP did nothing.  Montee got the job done and outperformed Charles/McCoy/Forte. Arian is going to be a BEAST this season.  Steven Jackson needed the goal line TD, still outscored Jamaal Charles and Eddie Lacy.  Doug Martin was a BUST.  Reggie was less than average.  Trent Richardson was a BUST. Vereen was great with the TD. Mark Ingram was one of the picks of the week with 2 TDs. Pierre Thomas did his thing with nearly 100 Total Yards. Shonn Greene with a solid 70+ Rushing Yards. MJD was a BUST. Hyde and GO BEAST. J-Stew picked up the damage. Darren Sproles stole the Lesean McCoy TD. Ivory had a HUGE game. DeAngelo Williams put up nice numbers.  Khiry Robinson with the TD.

LIKE HIM LESS

Great Pick with Lesean McCoy and Jamaal Charles.  No expert had them lower. Forte came back late to have a solid game.  Eddie Lacy good pick.  Murray/Bell Bad Picks, not by much.  Frank Gore BEAST PICK, no site had him lower this Week.    Gerhart/Spiller good picks as both did nothing.  Zac Stacy BEAST pick, no site had him lower.  Giovani Bernard, did nothing.  Rashad Jennings, bad pick with late TD.  Fred Jackson okay pick, did not score. Bernard Pierce BEAST PICK.  Moreno bad pick, but not really off from ECR.  Stevan Ridley BEAST Pick.  Dwyer/Hill, BEAST PICKs.

OVERALL RB

#38 Overall at RB.  What a joke. What a joke. No Fantasy Site produced better rankings than me from the RB positon, I want them to prove it.

 

THESE RANKINGS BELOW WON #7 at RB

Jamaal #1. McCoy #2. Gore #8. No Mark Ingram. How is that #7?

Rotoexpert

MUNTRADAMUS

WEEK 1 WR RANKINGS

FINALWR1

 

LIKE HIM MORE

Jeremy Maclin. One of the picks of the week. Golden Tate BEAST pick. Desean Jackson put up numbers, little too high.  Kenny Britt, BUST. Mike Evans, BUST sure.  Steve Smith BEAST OF THE WEEK.  Hakeem Nicks, BEAST.

LIKE HIM LESS

Jordy Nelson, solid pick with only 8 Points.  Michael Crabtree BEAST PICK. Keenan Allen BEAST PICK.  Antonio Brown, 0 Points in 2nd Half, does not matter bad pick on my part, that hurt.  Cord Patterson, fluke pick. All Experts that are high on Cord Patterson don’t understand the concept of what a Fantasy Football WR is. Kendall Wright, bad pick.  T.Y. Hilton BEAST PICK.

OVERALL WR

Antonio Brown and Cord Patterson were really bad.  Jeremy Maclin and Steve Smith were very BEAST.  Hakeem Nick/Tate/Britt vs. Hilton/Allen/Crabtree.  About even, I feel I deserve better than #133 out #135 at WR.  I did have two of the picks of the week as well as three HUGE BUST BEAST picks.

Brad Evans of Yahoo who Ranked #1 at WR for Week 1 Ranked Steve Smith SR. #67 and Jeremy Maclin #30.  I’ll give him props for some good picks, but to miss on two of the big-time WRs as to say bench them no matter what.  That’s hard for me to like.

 

 

FINAL THOUGHTS

Obviously I am the best Fantasy Football Expert in the field by far.  I don’t care what any haters say when they were considering drafting Jamaal Charles/Bishop Sankey/Andre Ellington/Toby Gerhart/Giovani Bernard/Frank Gore at any point.

I want to see Fantasy Football Experts on any site compete against this from Week 1.

BEAST REPORT WEEK 1

I want to see Fantasy Football Sites compete against this in general.

BEAST DOME TROPHY ROOM

No Fantasy Site is a one man army that is able to dominate the industry on an underground level like me.  Even if it is on an underground level, I will be the last one laughing as I become more succesful than all of these jokers who are probably sleeping as I write this article at 3am.

 

BEAST. BEAST. BEAST 

It’s a lifestyle

ARTICLES ON BEASTDOME THIS WEEK:

TEAM BEAST DOME (WEEK 1 – WEEK 2)

THURSDAY NIGHT LIGHTS

BEAST REPOT (WEEK 1 – WEEK 2)

WAIVER WIRE (WEEK 1 – WEEK 2)

MORE COMING THIS WEEKEND

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11 comments

  • Ben Andre September 12, 2014   Reply →

    I stopped looking at fantasy pros a LONNNG time ago, only read the Beastdome stuff now… seems to me Eisenberg may have paid some extra cash on the side to get that number 1 ranking… He is number 1 and yet Richard was like number 100 and their rankings are not that different….something does not add up… Keep working hard Munt, I know you are the best =) BEAST.

  • Luis Rodriguez September 12, 2014   Reply →

    Underground, the only way to do things!!

    It seems like there is a quirk with the Fantasy Pros algorithm in selecting the top experts. I don’t think it is so straight forward. I’m guessing here, but perhaps the system gives more strength to a certain aspects of the submitted rankings over others. Maybe having a bust weights in more negatively than having a beast does positively, or maybe it is based on the deviation from the consensus. Once you figure out what the quirk is, you might be able to make your rankings tailored to Beasting Fantasy Pros. Now on the flip side, these rankings might be different than having rankings that purely help the general population win fantasy football games.

    • Muntradamus September 12, 2014   Reply →

      I hear you Luis.

      But for the Top Fantasy Expert site of the week to Rank Frank Gore as their “BEAST OF THE WEEK” when mine was Marshawn Lynch as well as listing Frank Gore as a Bust among great calls spread throughout. I don’t know what else to do but submit my rankings and take what I take. No reason for me to be 105/135. No reason at all.

      • jj September 12, 2014   Reply →

        Munt,

        The way the rankings work, or how the accuracy of an expert is determined, is based on how close your rankings of the players were to their actual weekly finish. While you had many great picks, and I trust you more than any other “expert,” other experts’ rankings were closer to the actual ranking of players, broadly. Meaning statiscally their predictions were more accurate than yours. There are problems with doing it this way but I think it still works out in your favor. The experts know who the best experts are.

        • Muntradamus September 12, 2014   Reply →

          Steve Smith ECR #52
          Frank Gore ECR #9
          No RBs were as close as mine.

          I will admit some of my rankings were off, but because everyone of the ‘experts’ were off together on a player. I don’t get the big bump up, they just all stay the same. But if I am off on a player that every site loves, i.e. Luck. I take a HUGE hit.

  • skmetallica September 12, 2014   Reply →

    Have you directed these concerns to FantasyPros? Maybe they have changed their criterion since 2012. It certainly doesn’t make sense how you can be ranked so low after so many good calls. The weighting of various categories or factors must come into play to throw the final results off.

  • Brad September 12, 2014   Reply →

    This is why a lot of sites rank players very similarly and don’t have huge variances as you do. You’re a better analyst than they are but when they miss they’re not penalized as much cause they didn’t rank them too far off from the consensus. When you miss on a bust, you normally have them ranked much lower than the consensus so therefore penalized much harsher. So, if you want to score better, you’re gonna have to make sure you nail all your beasts and busts. Or rank them somewhat closer to what they’re consensus ranking is and you won’t be penalized as much on a miss.

  • Jon Snow September 14, 2014   Reply →

    This is hilarious, Munt you single handily alter the standard deviation in the fantasypros rankings on almost every player. If you go through and click on each player individually you’ll see Muntradamus either at the very top of the “Likes him More” list or at the very bottom of the “Likes him Less” list. You then come on here and claim how smart you are for being a “BEAST” on the ones you got right and then quickly dismiss all of your blown calls. Antonio Brown at 36 definitely hurt way more teams than having Steve Smith at 27 helped last week. I’ll be shocked if you even leave this comment on here because it seems like you also edit the comment section to get rid of anything other than the standard “Munt is a genius” comment. I can’t wait to watch Justin Hunter, Mike Wallace, Jordy, Gio, and Zach Ertz ruin your rankings again this week because you ranked all of them wayyyy too low.

    -Jon Snow

    PS: I know nothing

    • Muntradamus September 14, 2014   Reply →

      There are far more right than there are wrong.

      I’m not a goat who follows the pack as everyone ranks a player like Gore Top 10…or start of the week.

      I also never look at the other experts rankings at all when making mine. They just go off eachother, I do all of mine by scratch each week and spend the time to actually re-watch game footage instead of the industry who publishes everything Tuesday.

  • BenDontBreak September 27, 2014   Reply →

    A little late to the party, I know. RB accuracy ranking at 38 would have been a lot better, because of the many good calls that you point out, except for a couple really bad bust picks. You were probably one of few or the only expert to pick SJax (week 1 RB47 in standard scoring) over LeVeon Bell (week 1 RB1), advice that would cost any owner who took it 20.5 points. Or TRich over Bell, which costs owners 20.6 points. Those two calls alone probably do a lot to balance out big point difference picks like Lynch > Charles, and honestly, are a lot more impactful to fantasy owners. Any owner who has two or more stud-type RB1s is just going to play them both every week that they can. Picking which of the presumed top-end RBs comes in first has very little impact on owner decision making. Mark Ingram, now there was a good week 1 pick. Anyhow, expert rank 38 is still decidedly in the top half of the pack for week 1, and 58% is a totally respectable outing on FanPros, you just gotta realize that you slip relative to anyone who was high on Bell and Ingram and didn’t make the SJax and Trich calls.

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